Research only. Not financial advice. Data: Q1 2025 indicative estimates from public sources. Verify independently.
Moe / Newborough offers a materially higher gross yield (6.5% vs 2.7%), making it the stronger income candidate at current prices. Moe / Newborough achieves positive cashflow without negative gearing support, while Newcastle requires additional tax offset or rental growth to break even. Vacancy conditions favour Moe / Newborough (0.9% vs 1.8%), indicating tighter rental demand relative to supply.
Research context only. Not financial advice. Both markets carry distinct risks specific to their location, employment base, and economic profile. Read the individual suburb research pages before drawing conclusions. All policy references reflect proposed changes subject to final legislation.
| Metric | Moe / Newborough VIC · #1 | Newcastle NSW · #27 |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Yield | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Vacancy Rate | 0.9% | 1.8% |
| Median Price | $385k | $1550k |
| Weekly Rent | $480/wk | $800/wk |
| Net pre-costs pa | +$4,940 | $-39,000 |
| Cashflow | Positive | Negative |
| Rent Growth 12m | +6.2% | +4.2% |
| Price Growth 12m | +5.1% | +4.8% |
| NG Dependence | None | High |
| Discovery Status | Unknown | Known |
| Population | 16k | 320k |
| Cycle Stage | Early | Mid |
| Policy Impact | ▲ STRONG UPGRADE | ▼ DOWNGRADED |
| Signal Score | 74 / Tier 1 | 41 / Tier 3 |
6.5% gross yield at $385k equals strongly positive cashflow without needing negative gearing. Keppel's $10B AI data centre (Australia's largest announced) remains almost entirely unpriced in local property. Construction worker accommodation demand alone will tighten vacancy before residents follow. Budget policy renders negative gearing irrelevant here.
Newcastle's median house price at $1.55M now sits in the range of established capital city suburban markets. The investment case is lifestyle demand, coastal amenity, and employment diversification (John Hunter Hospital, University of Newcastle, defence, knowledge economy) — not yield or cashflow. At 2.5% gross yield, this market requires significant ongoing capital to hold at standard LVR rates. The 2026 NG policy change materially increases holding costs for new purchasers.
CoreLogic SA3 Latrobe Valley Q1 2025 · SQM Research postcode 3825 vacancy Mar 2025 · REI Victoria median rent Q4 2024 · Keppel Corp ASX announcement Nov 2023 · DCCEEW Latrobe Valley Authority 2024
Data vintage: Q1 2025
2026 median house data. Source: realestate.com.au. Data quality: imported. Verify before transacting.
Data vintage: 2026
The interactive tool lets you add up to 4 suburbs for a full side-by-side breakdown with score components.
Research only. Not financial advice. Data vintage Q1 2025 (indicative estimates from public sources). Verify all metrics independently with local property managers and licensed advisers before making any investment decision. All negative gearing and budget policy references reflect proposed changes subject to final legislation. Consult a registered tax adviser for personal tax position.