Geelong
VICTier 3Negative
47
Signal score
VS
Palmerston
NTTier 2Positive
48
Signal score

Research only. Not financial advice. Data: Q1 2025 indicative estimates from public sources. Verify independently.

Palmerston: Yield Advantage
6.0% vs 3.3%
Geelong: Tighter Rental Market
1.6% vs 2.8% vacancy
Palmerston: Lower Entry Price
$510k vs $904k
Palmerston: Better Cashflow Position
Positive vs Negative
Palmerston: Budget Policy Resilient
No NG required (proposed changes pending legislation)

Palmerston offers a materially higher gross yield (6.0% vs 3.3%), making it the stronger income candidate at current prices. Palmerston achieves positive cashflow without negative gearing support, while Geelong requires additional tax offset or rental growth to break even. Vacancy conditions favour Geelong (1.6% vs 2.8%), indicating tighter rental demand relative to supply.

Research context only. Not financial advice. Both markets carry distinct risks specific to their location, employment base, and economic profile. Read the individual suburb research pages before drawing conclusions. All policy references reflect proposed changes subject to final legislation.

Metric
Geelong
VIC · #26
Palmerston
NT · #25
Gross Yield3.3%6.0%
Vacancy Rate1.6%2.8%
Median Price$904k$510k
Weekly Rent$575/wk$590/wk
Net pre-costs pa$-17,108+$4,160
CashflowNegativePositive
Rent Growth 12m+3.8%+3.5%
Price Growth 12m+2.1%+3%
NG DependenceHighNone
Discovery StatusKnownKnown
Population270k37k
Cycle StageMidStarting
Policy Impact▼ DOWNGRADED◆ NEUTRAL
Signal Score47 / Tier 348 / Tier 2
Geelong

Geelong at $904k reflects the Melbourne proximity premium and post-pandemic lifestyle migration run. Deakin University, Barwon Health, NDIS growth, and logistics employment anchor the economy after the Ford closure in 2016. At 3.3% gross yield, cashflow is strongly negative at standard LVR. VIC state land tax changes add holding cost pressure. Investment case relies on Melbourne-correlated capital growth rather than income.

Palmerston

Government-backed tenant quality via ADF DHOAS subsidies. Robertson Barracks is a permanent strategic asset. Vacancy driven by ADF rotations not economic weakness.

Geelong: Sources

2026 median house data. Source: realestate.com.au. Data quality: imported. Verify before transacting.

Data vintage: 2026

Palmerston: Sources

CoreLogic NT Q1 2025 · REINT Palmerston/Darwin Q4 2024 · SQM Research · ADF Defence Housing Australia occupancy data 2024 · NT Government Greater Darwin Region Land Use Objectives 2024

Data vintage: Q1 2025

The interactive tool lets you add up to 4 suburbs for a full side-by-side breakdown with score components.

Research only. Not financial advice. Data vintage Q1 2025 (indicative estimates from public sources). Verify all metrics independently with local property managers and licensed advisers before making any investment decision. All negative gearing and budget policy references reflect proposed changes subject to final legislation. Consult a registered tax adviser for personal tax position.